TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — A new study by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) found a majority of U.S. and Taiwanese experts believe that a Taiwan Strait crisis is likely in 2024, that China is capable of imposing a blockade on Taiwan, but that it is not currently capable of launching an amphibious invasion. Taiwan News
Category: Polls
Taiwan May exports seen rising for 23rd month, but more slowly
Taiwan’s exports likely rose for the 23rd straight month in May but more slowly than in April, hit by pandemic-control lockdowns in China and effects of the war in Ukraine, a Reuters poll showed. Reuters
Global support for economic break with China if it invades Taiwan
A total of 26 countries saw the majority of their respondents support cutting economic ties with China in the case of an invasion, with the highest levels of support registered in the United Kingdom, Denmark, and Japan respectively. Sweden, Australia, the United States, Canada, and several European countries followed suit. Taiwannews.com.tw
Confidence in Tsai’s preparations if Taiwan attacked by China down 11%
In a new poll released on Tuesday (May 25), nearly half of respondents said that President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) has not done enough to prepare Taiwan for an invasion by China, and the proportion expressing confidence in her preparations has dropped by 11% since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. taiwannews.com.tw
Poll asked, Is the government fully prepared if China attacked Taiwan?
| 30.6% | Mostly Inadequate |
| 18.9% | Very Inadequate |
| 25.7% | Mostly Adequate |
| 7.1% | Very Adequate |
| 4.4% | No Opinion |
| 13.2% | Do not Know |
Same-sex marriage support still up substantially since 2018
As Taiwan approaches the third anniversary of its legalization of same-sex marriage on May 24, support for the right of gay couples to wed has risen to 60.9 percent, still up substantially from four years earlier, according to the results of a new survey released Sunday. Focustaiwan.tw
| % | Same-sex Marriage Survey in Taiwan |
|---|---|
| 60.9 | Support for the right of gay couples to wed |
| 71 | Same-sex married couples should have the right to adopt children |
| 71.8 | Agreed that same-sex couples can raise children just as well as opposite-sex couples |
| 76.5 | Transgender people should dress in whatever way they feel comfortable at school or work |
| 89.4 | No problem with having a transgender coworker |
Majority of adults would take up arms if China invaded
More than half of the adults in Taiwan would be willing to take up arms if China attacked the country, a survey conducted and released by the Association of Chinese Elite Leadership (ACEL) suggested Friday. Focustaiwan.tv
Survey Results
61.4% Willing to take up arms to defend Taiwan
25.1% Would Not
The ACEL poll was conducted from May 18-, targeting individuals aged 20 or older.
The poll received 1,073 valid samples, with interviews conducted via telephone, and has a margin of error of 2.98 percent, with a 95 percent level of confidence.
Why is unification so unpopular in Taiwan?
The idea that Taiwan people reject unification out of a sense of ethnocultural difference from China finds little support in our survey. A majority of our respondents — 56% — said Taiwanese culture was similar to Chinese culture… Brookings.edu